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Qual 112015 Northern Lights Regional
Red22
546411.3
42079.1
478621.2
Blue29
326717.8
529021.9
338112.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29270204060801002229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4786
#33
21.20.2
11.1→10.9
Auto-0.7
Teleop21.9
End0.0
blue by 0.7
5290
#15
21.90.0
9.2→9.2
Auto0.0
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Second
5464
#51
11.30.2
8.1→7.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.5
End0.0
blue by 6.5
3267
#19
17.80.0
11.5→11.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
4207
#58
9.10.2
10.8→10.6
Auto0.1
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 3.3
3381
#35
12.40.0
7.9→7.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.7
End0.0