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Red70
250122.1
416612.5
87630.4
Blue0
372316.3
30269.0
321211.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions442006080100120140160700

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#11
30.43.8
17.921.7
Auto0.6
Teleop29.9
End0.0
red by 14.2
3723
#26
16.31.5
5.54.0
Auto2.0
Teleop14.3
End0.0
Second
2501
#10
22.13.8
13.417.2
Auto0.0
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 10.2
3212
#34
11.81.5
10.69.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.0
End0.0
Third
4166
#39
12.53.8
10.914.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.8
End0.0
red by 3.5
3026
#54
9.01.5
8.16.6
Auto1.4
Teleop7.5
End0.0