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Red56
257416.6
216919.1
42264.5
Blue52
251810.6
45316.7
485928.2
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423301001505652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2169
#30
19.11.2
19.320.5
Auto0.0
Teleop19.0
End0.0
blue by 9.1
28.21.9
13.115.0
Auto1.0
Teleop27.1
End0.0
Second
2574
#31
16.61.2
11.012.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.9
End0.0
red by 6.0
2518
#48
10.61.9
12.414.3
Auto0.8
Teleop9.9
End0.0
Third
4226
#59
4.51.2
11.412.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.7
End0.0
blue by 2.1
4531
#60
6.71.9
10.111.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.9
End0.0