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Red8
418213.3
465614.5
36339.8
Blue8
450610.4
329816.3
30549.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312902040608010088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4656
#43
14.52.0
13.411.5
Auto0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 1.8
3298
#24
16.31.8
10.68.8
Auto0.7
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Second
4182
#42
13.32.0
6.34.3
Auto0.7
Teleop12.6
End0.0
red by 2.9
4506
#40
10.41.8
10.58.6
Auto1.3
Teleop9.1
End0.0
Third
3633
#55
9.82.0
11.79.8
Auto1.0
Teleop8.9
End0.0
red by 0.4
3054
#52
9.41.8
9.17.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop9.7
End0.0