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Red50
284617.0
388325.1
474114.9
Blue48
216919.1
416612.5
250219.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375301001505048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3883
#14
25.10.8
16.016.8
Auto0.4
Teleop24.6
End0.0
red by 6.0
2169
#30
19.10.4
20.520.1
Auto0.0
Teleop19.0
End0.0
Second
2846
#29
17.00.8
12.012.7
Auto0.4
Teleop16.5
End0.0
blue by 2.1
2502
#36
19.00.4
17.316.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.3
End0.0
Third
4741
#23
14.90.8
12.813.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.2
End0.0
red by 2.4
4166
#39
12.50.4
14.714.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.8
End0.0