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Red94
514818.8
450610.4
313050.9
Blue78
375019.7
257416.6
326717.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443801001509478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.94.1
26.530.6
Auto0.3
Teleop50.6
End0.0
red by 31.2
3750
#18
19.73.2
16.319.4
Auto0.7
Teleop19.0
End0.0
Second
5148
#17
18.84.1
9.813.9
Auto0.2
Teleop18.6
End0.0
red by 1.1
3267
#19
17.83.2
11.514.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
4506
#40
10.44.1
8.612.7
Auto1.3
Teleop9.1
End0.0
blue by 6.2
2574
#31
16.63.2
12.215.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.9
End0.0