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Red14
467417.6
251810.6
28479.3
Blue18
247911.9
329816.3
249112.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3427060801001201401601418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4674
#16
17.61.7
14.012.4
Auto0.4
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 1.3
3298
#24
16.30.9
8.87.9
Auto0.7
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Second
2518
#48
10.61.7
14.312.6
Auto0.8
Teleop9.9
End0.0
blue by 2.3
2491
#46
12.90.9
9.68.7
Auto0.2
Teleop12.7
End0.0
Third
2847
#49
9.31.7
5.53.9
Auto0.8
Teleop8.5
End0.0
blue by 2.6
2479
#47
11.90.9
10.39.5
Auto0.8
Teleop11.1
End0.0