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Red25
25329.1
217522.8
448014.8
Blue114
523220.7
478621.2
52551.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304702040608010012014016025114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2175
#27
22.80.7
16.716.0
Auto0.7
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 28.3
525
#2
51.15.7
26.832.4
Auto0.2
Teleop50.9
End0.0
Second
4480
#32
14.80.7
7.77.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.1
End0.0
blue by 6.4
4786
#33
21.25.7
10.916.6
Auto-0.7
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Third
2532
#53
9.10.7
9.18.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0
blue by 11.6
5232
#12
20.75.7
8.414.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.0
End0.0