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Red8
257416.6
30549.4
250015.9
Blue10
375412.4
42264.5
284617.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41320206080100120140810

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2574
#31
16.62.7
15.412.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.9
End0.0
blue by 0.3
2846
#29
17.02.1
12.710.7
Auto0.4
Teleop16.5
End0.0
Second
2500
#22
15.92.7
17.014.3
Auto0.8
Teleop15.1
End0.0
red by 3.4
3754
#37
12.42.1
9.37.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0
Third
3054
#52
9.42.7
8.55.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop9.7
End0.0
red by 4.8
4226
#59
4.52.1
12.710.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.7
End0.0