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Red38
250219.0
478621.2
448014.8
Blue17
465614.5
534813.5
87630.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365301001503817

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4786
#33
21.20.3
16.616.9
Auto-0.7
Teleop21.9
End0.0
blue by 9.2
876
#11
30.43.0
25.622.6
Auto0.6
Teleop29.9
End0.0
Second
2502
#36
19.00.3
16.917.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.3
End0.0
red by 4.5
4656
#43
14.53.0
12.09.0
Auto0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Third
4480
#32
14.80.3
7.07.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.1
End0.0
red by 1.3
5348
#38
13.53.0
15.212.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.6
End0.0