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Red84
52551.1
2734.0
416612.5
Blue0
247911.9
329711.5
546411.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8027050100150200840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#2
51.10.8
32.433.2
Auto0.2
Teleop50.9
End0.0
red by 39.2
2479
#47
11.92.0
9.57.4
Auto0.8
Teleop11.1
End0.0
Second
27
#9
34.00.8
27.528.3
Auto0.0
Teleop34.0
End0.0
red by 22.6
3297
#50
11.52.0
14.912.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0
Third
4166
#39
12.50.8
14.415.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.8
End0.0
red by 1.2
5464
#51
11.32.0
11.89.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.5
End0.0