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Red90
465710.9
284617.0
87630.4
Blue46
45316.7
375019.7
25329.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383202060801001201401609046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#11
30.44.3
22.626.9
Auto0.6
Teleop29.9
End0.0
red by 10.7
3750
#18
19.71.0
18.919.9
Auto0.7
Teleop19.0
End0.0
Second
2846
#29
17.04.3
10.715.0
Auto0.4
Teleop16.5
End0.0
red by 7.8
2532
#53
9.11.0
6.47.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0
Third
4657
#41
10.94.3
5.49.7
Auto0.7
Teleop10.1
End0.0
red by 4.2
4531
#60
6.71.0
8.49.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.9
End0.0