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Red50
388325.1
392614.9
321211.8
Blue67
247911.9
462331.9
30269.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353702060801005067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3883
#14
25.11.2
15.116.3
Auto0.4
Teleop24.6
End0.0
blue by 6.9
31.92.4
23.025.4
Auto0.8
Teleop31.1
End0.0
Second
3926
#45
14.91.2
9.410.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.0
End0.0
red by 3.0
2479
#47
11.92.4
7.49.9
Auto0.8
Teleop11.1
End0.0
Third
3212
#34
11.81.2
11.612.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.0
End0.0
red by 2.9
3026
#54
9.02.4
7.29.7
Auto1.4
Teleop7.5
End0.0