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Qual 472015 Northern Lights Regional
Red0
534813.5
423818.2
546411.3
Blue30
46714.7
217522.8
450610.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274206080100120140160030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4238
#25
18.22.0
8.3→6.3
Auto0.7
Teleop17.4
End0.0
blue by 4.6
2175
#27
22.80.9
20.0→19.1
Auto0.7
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Second
5348
#38
13.52.0
12.2→10.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.6
End0.0
red by 3.1
4506
#40
10.40.9
14.4→13.4
Auto1.3
Teleop9.1
End0.0
Third
5464
#51
11.32.0
9.8→7.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.5
End0.0
red by 6.5
4671
#56
4.70.9
6.8→5.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.9
End0.0