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Red18
45316.7
30269.0
523220.7
Blue40
305524.5
517240.0
478621.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25410501001501840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5232
#12
20.70.9
8.67.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.0
End0.0
blue by 19.3
40.00.0
20.420.4
Auto-0.6
Teleop40.6
End0.0
Second
3026
#54
9.00.9
9.08.1
Auto1.4
Teleop7.5
End0.0
blue by 15.5
3055
#13
24.50.0
8.78.7
Auto0.2
Teleop24.3
End0.0
Third
4531
#60
6.70.9
10.910.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.9
End0.0
blue by 14.5
4786
#33
21.20.0
11.111.1
Auto-0.7
Teleop21.9
End0.0