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Red40
250219.0
250015.9
465710.9
Blue8
46714.7
563823.7
42079.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39420206080100120408

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2502
#36
19.00.4
16.016.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.3
End0.0
blue by 4.6
23.72.8
24.922.1
Auto0.3
Teleop23.4
End0.0
Second
2500
#22
15.90.4
17.217.6
Auto0.8
Teleop15.1
End0.0
red by 6.8
4207
#58
9.12.8
11.28.5
Auto0.1
Teleop9.0
End0.0
Third
4657
#41
10.90.4
8.08.4
Auto0.7
Teleop10.1
End0.0
red by 6.1
4671
#56
4.72.8
7.34.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.9
End0.0