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Red56
418213.3
416612.5
534813.5
Blue77
462429.9
25329.1
28479.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36330501001505677

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5348
#38
13.51.5
14.315.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.6
End0.0
blue by 16.4
29.93.3
24.928.2
Auto0.5
Teleop29.4
End0.0
Second
4182
#42
13.31.5
10.111.6
Auto0.7
Teleop12.6
End0.0
red by 4.0
2847
#49
9.33.3
2.65.9
Auto0.8
Teleop8.5
End0.0
Third
4166
#39
12.51.5
12.413.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.8
End0.0
red by 3.4
2532
#53
9.13.3
7.110.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0