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Red38
2734.0
388325.1
28479.3
Blue16
217522.8
257416.6
465710.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554101001503816

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#9
34.01.4
29.828.4
Auto0.0
Teleop34.0
End0.0
red by 11.2
2175
#27
22.81.9
22.120.2
Auto0.7
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Second
3883
#14
25.11.4
16.214.8
Auto0.4
Teleop24.6
End0.0
red by 8.4
2574
#31
16.61.9
12.911.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Third
2847
#49
9.31.4
8.77.3
Auto0.8
Teleop8.5
End0.0
blue by 1.5
4657
#41
10.91.9
9.57.6
Auto0.7
Teleop10.1
End0.0