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Red14
247219.5
375519.0
310220.6
Blue18
38465.7
329014.7
252632.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423002060801001201401601418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3102
#14
20.61.8
13.812.0
Auto1.2
Teleop19.4
End0.0
blue by 11.8
32.41.2
12.911.6
Auto1.2
Teleop31.1
End0.0
Second
2472
#40
19.51.8
14.612.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.5
End0.0
red by 4.8
3290
#29
14.71.2
11.410.1
Auto0.3
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Third
3755
#23
19.01.8
12.811.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.1
End0.0
red by 13.3
3846
#59
5.71.2
8.77.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.8
End0.0