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Red26
472820.3
205235.6
37883.5
Blue28
247219.5
37409.6
42448.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3526060801001201401602628

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.60.7
19.518.8
Auto1.1
Teleop34.5
End0.0
red by 16.1
2472
#40
19.50.4
12.913.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.5
End0.0
Second
20.30.7
10.09.3
Auto0.9
Teleop19.4
End0.0
red by 10.7
3740
#46
9.60.4
6.67.0
Auto0.1
Teleop9.5
End0.0
Third
3788
#60
3.50.7
5.34.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop3.5
End0.0
blue by 5.0
4244
#45
8.50.4
9.29.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.6
End0.0