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Red30
42448.5
205235.6
451115.8
Blue7
500311.3
565815.5
51436.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37270206080100120140307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.60.6
18.818.2
Auto1.1
Teleop34.5
End0.0
red by 20.1
5658
#28
15.51.9
11.69.8
Auto0.0
Teleop15.5
End0.0
Second
4511
#24
15.80.6
8.57.9
Auto0.4
Teleop15.4
End0.0
red by 4.4
5003
#37
11.31.9
9.67.7
Auto0.5
Teleop10.9
End0.0
Third
4244
#45
8.50.6
9.69.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.6
End0.0
red by 1.9
5143
#52
6.61.9
8.06.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.6
End0.0