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Red69
327622.1
329014.7
405410.3
Blue79
181629.4
439718.5
554112.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363202060801001201406979

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.12.7
14.316.9
Auto0.7
Teleop21.4
End0.0
blue by 7.3
29.43.7
18.021.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop29.5
End0.0
Second
3290
#29
14.72.7
12.114.8
Auto0.3
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 3.8
4397
#10
18.53.7
10.213.9
Auto0.7
Teleop17.8
End0.0
Third
4054
#39
10.32.7
10.413.1
Auto0.4
Teleop10.0
End0.0
blue by 2.4
5541
#35
12.73.7
6.09.8
Auto0.5
Teleop12.2
End0.0