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Red30
501910.6
312214.6
288334.0
Blue0
9328.8
384012.3
481811.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44290206080100120140300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.01.1
18.417.3
Auto1.1
Teleop32.9
End0.0
red by 5.2
93
#15
28.82.2
12.210.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.0
End0.0
Second
3122
#26
14.61.1
11.610.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.7
End0.0
red by 2.3
3840
#30
12.32.2
11.79.5
Auto0.1
Teleop12.3
End0.0
Third
5019
#42
10.61.1
13.512.4
Auto0.0
Teleop10.6
End0.0
blue by 0.4
4818
#62
11.02.2
8.26.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.3
End0.0