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Red69
525320.2
375519.0
205235.6
Blue70
329416.9
29778.0
501910.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353202060801001206970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.62.7
18.221.0
Auto1.1
Teleop34.5
End0.0
red by 18.8
3294
#16
16.93.0
10.713.7
Auto0.5
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Second
20.22.7
7.510.2
Auto0.5
Teleop19.7
End0.0
red by 9.6
5019
#42
10.63.0
12.415.4
Auto0.0
Teleop10.6
End0.0
Third
3755
#23
19.02.7
10.513.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.1
End0.0
red by 11.0
2977
#48
8.03.0
10.913.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.1
End0.0