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Red20
37409.6
426010.7
222019.0
Blue4
565815.5
288334.0
171418.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27460206080100120140204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2220
#27
19.00.4
12.812.3
Auto0.2
Teleop18.8
End0.0
blue by 15.0
34.01.9
17.315.4
Auto1.1
Teleop32.9
End0.0
Second
4260
#41
10.70.4
9.59.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.8
End0.0
blue by 7.4
1714
#47
18.11.9
17.615.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.1
End0.0
Third
3740
#46
9.60.4
9.08.6
Auto0.1
Teleop9.5
End0.0
blue by 5.9
5658
#28
15.51.9
9.87.9
Auto0.0
Teleop15.5
End0.0