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Red10
329014.7
217710.5
472820.3
Blue6
52999.6
55428.1
418114.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50210406080100120140160106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.33.1
16.613.6
Auto0.9
Teleop19.4
End0.0
red by 5.7
4181
#33
14.61.7
7.65.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.7
End0.0
Second
3290
#29
14.73.1
17.013.9
Auto0.3
Teleop14.4
End0.0
red by 5.1
5299
#57
9.61.7
10.68.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.6
End0.0
Third
2177
#43
10.53.1
13.310.2
Auto0.4
Teleop10.1
End0.0
red by 2.4
5542
#50
8.11.7
7.96.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.2
End0.0