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Red14
327720.6
171418.1
484519.6
Blue13
312214.6
29778.0
500311.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions553102040801001201401601413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3277
#17
20.62.7
19.116.3
Auto1.0
Teleop19.6
End0.0
red by 6.0
3122
#26
14.61.9
14.812.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.7
End0.0
Second
4845
#22
19.62.7
14.211.4
Auto0.9
Teleop18.7
End0.0
red by 8.3
5003
#37
11.31.9
7.86.0
Auto0.5
Teleop10.9
End0.0
Third
1714
#47
18.12.7
19.616.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.1
End0.0
red by 10.0
2977
#48
8.01.9
12.911.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.1
End0.0