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Red2
418114.6
37883.5
22646.2
Blue0
481811.0
426010.7
484519.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2532040608010012014016020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4181
#33
14.62.1
10.38.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.7
End0.0
blue by 5.1
4845
#22
19.61.2
12.311.1
Auto0.9
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Second
2264
#49
6.22.1
9.27.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.4
End0.0
blue by 4.8
4818
#62
11.01.2
10.18.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.3
End0.0
Third
3788
#60
3.52.1
7.45.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop3.5
End0.0
blue by 7.2
4260
#41
10.71.2
9.68.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.8
End0.0