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Red6
501910.6
30429.8
30366.8
Blue40
329014.7
171418.1
37883.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30350206080100120640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5019
#42
10.61.4
12.010.6
Auto0.0
Teleop10.6
End0.0
blue by 7.5
1714
#47
18.10.3
18.018.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.1
End0.0
Second
3042
#56
9.81.4
11.610.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 5.0
3290
#29
14.70.3
14.414.7
Auto0.3
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Third
3036
#53
6.81.4
8.26.8
Auto0.4
Teleop6.4
End0.0
red by 3.3
3788
#60
3.50.3
3.23.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop3.5
End0.0