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Red48
384012.3
252632.4
472820.3
Blue80
423917.0
181629.4
329416.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625802040801001201401604880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.41.1
27.926.8
Auto1.2
Teleop31.1
End0.0
red by 2.9
29.41.4
28.930.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop29.5
End0.0
Second
20.31.1
22.020.9
Auto0.9
Teleop19.4
End0.0
red by 3.3
4239
#21
17.01.4
15.617.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.1
End0.0
Third
3840
#30
12.31.1
13.412.3
Auto0.1
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 4.5
3294
#16
16.91.4
16.017.4
Auto0.5
Teleop16.4
End0.0