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Red103
288334.0
205235.6
247219.5
Blue52
171418.1
525320.2
375519.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8350010015020010352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.60.5
32.933.4
Auto1.1
Teleop34.5
End0.0
red by 15.4
20.20.1
20.220.1
Auto0.5
Teleop19.7
End0.0
Second
34.00.5
31.331.8
Auto1.1
Teleop32.9
End0.0
red by 14.9
3755
#23
19.00.1
19.018.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.1
End0.0
Third
2472
#40
19.50.5
16.817.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.5
End0.0
red by 1.4
1714
#47
18.10.1
18.017.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.1
End0.0