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Red109
288334.0
205235.6
247219.5
Blue102
481811.0
252632.4
9328.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84550100150200109102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.60.6
33.434.0
Auto1.1
Teleop34.5
End0.0
red by 3.2
32.40.9
28.829.7
Auto1.2
Teleop31.1
End0.0
Second
34.00.6
31.832.3
Auto1.1
Teleop32.9
End0.0
red by 5.2
93
#15
28.80.9
25.226.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.0
End0.0
Third
2472
#40
19.50.6
17.317.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.5
End0.0
red by 8.5
4818
#62
11.00.9
7.48.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.3
End0.0