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Red101
327622.1
453934.0
484519.6
Blue111
288334.0
205235.6
247219.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6983050100150200101111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.00.6
33.334.0
Auto1.1
Teleop32.8
End0.0
blue by 1.7
35.60.6
34.034.6
Auto1.1
Teleop34.5
End0.0
Second
22.10.6
21.522.1
Auto0.7
Teleop21.4
End0.0
blue by 11.9
34.00.6
32.332.9
Auto1.1
Teleop32.9
End0.0
Third
4845
#22
19.60.6
19.019.6
Auto0.9
Teleop18.7
End0.0
red by 0.2
2472
#40
19.50.6
17.918.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.5
End0.0