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Red5
298911.6
220720.9
254911.5
Blue23
544916.6
468715.2
327513.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3226010204050607080523

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.92.3
12.910.7
Auto0.8
Teleop20.1
End0.0
red by 4.3
5449
#34
16.60.4
7.87.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.6
End0.0
Second
2989
#52
11.62.3
8.15.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 3.6
4687
#20
15.20.4
11.210.8
Auto0.6
Teleop14.6
End0.0
Third
2549
#28
11.52.3
11.08.8
Auto0.8
Teleop10.7
End0.0
blue by 2.2
3275
#43
13.70.4
8.68.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.8
End0.0