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Red20
254911.5
327513.7
25259.6
Blue36
245017.0
562616.7
30237.5
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25230102030402036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3275
#43
13.70.1
8.28.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.8
End0.0
blue by 3.3
2450
#23
17.01.5
9.310.8
Auto0.4
Teleop16.6
End0.0
Second
2549
#28
11.50.1
8.88.8
Auto0.8
Teleop10.7
End0.0
blue by 5.2
5626
#18
16.71.5
8.910.3
Auto0.5
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Third
2525
#50
9.60.1
8.38.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.8
End0.0
red by 2.0
3023
#58
7.51.5
6.07.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.6
End0.0