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Red20
22258.7
557635.4
544916.6
Blue28
304219.7
427710.5
313411.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382802060801002028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.41.5
15.313.8
Auto0.3
Teleop35.1
End0.0
red by 15.7
3042
#15
19.70.1
13.012.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Second
5449
#34
16.61.5
7.46.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.6
End0.0
red by 5.3
3134
#37
11.20.2
8.78.5
Auto0.2
Teleop11.0
End0.0
Third
2225
#51
8.71.5
15.013.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.9
End0.0
blue by 1.8
4277
#47
10.50.2
8.78.5
Auto0.3
Teleop10.2
End0.0