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Red36
245017.0
544916.6
477823.0
Blue20
309023.9
295713.6
369913.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34340204060803620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4778
#17
23.00.8
15.916.6
Auto1.9
Teleop21.1
End0.0
blue by 0.9
3090
#12
23.91.4
17.015.6
Auto1.5
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Second
2450
#23
17.00.8
10.811.6
Auto0.4
Teleop16.6
End0.0
red by 3.4
2957
#36
13.61.4
8.57.1
Auto0.8
Teleop12.8
End0.0
Third
5449
#34
16.60.8
6.06.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.6
End0.0
red by 3.0
3699
#31
13.51.4
11.710.2
Auto0.0
Teleop13.5
End0.0