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Red110
313411.2
392833.2
388334.5
Blue110
369913.5
245017.0
217530.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68410206080100120140110110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.52.2
29.031.2
Auto0.0
Teleop34.5
End0.0
red by 4.4
30.13.8
24.828.6
Auto0.5
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Second
33.22.2
30.532.7
Auto0.2
Teleop33.0
End0.0
red by 16.2
2450
#23
17.06.3
11.617.9
Auto0.4
Teleop16.6
End0.0
Third
3134
#37
11.23.7
6.410.1
Auto0.2
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 2.3
3699
#31
13.56.3
10.216.5
Auto0.0
Teleop13.5
End0.0