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Red22
468715.2
562616.7
466510.0
Blue30
557635.4
56377.9
222017.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393802060802230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5626
#18
16.71.3
15.914.6
Auto0.5
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 18.7
35.41.0
16.115.1
Auto0.3
Teleop35.1
End0.0
Second
4687
#20
15.21.3
10.08.7
Auto0.6
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 1.9
2220
#49
17.10.6
16.816.2
Auto0.5
Teleop16.6
End0.0
Third
4665
#53
10.01.3
12.010.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop10.4
End0.0
red by 2.1
5637
#41
7.91.0
8.87.8
Auto0.5
Teleop7.4
End0.0