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Red8
46323.0
309023.9
25259.6
Blue20
529711.7
423912.9
253121.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25470406080100120140820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3090
#12
23.91.8
15.513.7
Auto1.5
Teleop22.4
End0.0
red by 2.6
2531
#32
21.31.0
18.817.9
Auto0.3
Teleop21.0
End0.0
Second
2525
#50
9.61.8
6.44.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 3.3
4239
#59
12.91.0
17.116.2
Auto0.6
Teleop12.3
End0.0
Third
4632
#60
3.01.8
7.45.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop3.2
End0.0
blue by 8.7
5297
#39
11.71.6
9.17.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0