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Red161
282686.6
557635.4
320617.0
Blue62
222017.1
329318.9
392833.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10157015020016162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.63.2
67.170.3
Auto16.3
Teleop70.3
End0.0
red by 53.4
33.20.2
32.732.5
Auto0.2
Teleop33.0
End0.0
Second
35.45.3
15.120.4
Auto0.3
Teleop35.1
End0.0
red by 16.5
3293
#22
18.90.3
16.716.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.1
End0.0
Third
3206
#35
17.03.2
15.118.3
Auto0.6
Teleop16.4
End0.0
blue by 0.1
2220
#49
17.10.2
16.216.0
Auto0.5
Teleop16.6
End0.0