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Red38
38718.8
22258.7
369117.6
Blue48
254911.5
562616.7
392833.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35630501001502003848

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3691
#24
17.60.3
17.717.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.9
End0.0
blue by 15.6
33.20.7
32.531.9
Auto0.2
Teleop33.0
End0.0
Second
3871
#38
8.80.3
10.810.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop9.1
End0.0
blue by 7.9
5626
#18
16.71.1
15.013.8
Auto0.5
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Third
2225
#51
8.70.3
12.512.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.9
End0.0
blue by 2.8
2549
#28
11.51.1
13.812.7
Auto0.8
Teleop10.7
End0.0