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Red18
369913.5
37658.0
527515.2
Blue6
22258.7
468715.2
30237.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43270206080100120186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5275
#30
15.21.4
15.914.5
Auto1.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Level
4687
#20
15.21.9
8.86.8
Auto0.6
Teleop14.6
End0.0
Second
3699
#31
13.51.4
16.014.6
Auto0.0
Teleop13.5
End0.0
red by 4.8
2225
#51
8.71.9
12.210.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.9
End0.0
Third
3765
#56
8.01.4
10.08.6
Auto1.1
Teleop6.9
End0.0
red by 0.5
3023
#58
7.51.9
9.87.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.6
End0.0