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Red50
217530.1
222017.1
313411.2
Blue7
21777.8
298911.6
46323.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62100204080100120140160507

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.10.3
30.129.8
Auto0.5
Teleop29.6
End0.0
red by 18.5
2989
#52
11.60.9
9.58.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Second
2220
#49
17.10.3
17.517.2
Auto0.5
Teleop16.6
End0.0
red by 9.3
2177
#57
7.80.6
6.45.8
Auto0.1
Teleop7.7
End0.0
Third
3134
#37
11.20.4
8.17.7
Auto0.2
Teleop11.0
End0.0
red by 8.2
4632
#60
3.00.9
2.81.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop3.2
End0.0