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Red80
552212.5
309023.9
562616.7
Blue58
46268.6
265417.9
260623.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385001001502002508058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3090
#12
23.93.0
12.915.9
Auto1.5
Teleop22.4
End0.0
red by 1.0
2606
#11
23.00.6
22.222.8
Auto0.8
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Second
5626
#18
16.73.0
13.816.9
Auto0.5
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 1.2
2654
#25
17.90.6
17.918.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.1
End0.0
Third
5522
#26
12.53.0
14.217.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.0
End0.0
red by 3.9
4626
#54
8.60.6
10.010.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop9.0
End0.0