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Red68
533920.6
214310.5
327513.7
Blue126
557635.4
392833.2
295713.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287505010015020025068126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5339
#19
20.62.3
19.121.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.7
End0.0
blue by 14.8
35.44.0
28.332.3
Auto0.3
Teleop35.1
End0.0
Second
3275
#43
13.72.3
10.412.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.8
End0.0
blue by 19.5
33.22.8
31.634.4
Auto0.2
Teleop33.0
End0.0
Third
2143
#42
10.52.3
6.99.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.7
End0.0
blue by 3.1
2957
#36
13.64.0
10.514.5
Auto0.8
Teleop12.8
End0.0