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Red42
369011.2
253121.3
466510.0
Blue19
46077.4
22258.7
295713.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions422902060801001204219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2531
#32
21.30.0
20.520.6
Auto0.3
Teleop21.0
End0.0
red by 7.7
2957
#36
13.60.9
14.513.6
Auto0.8
Teleop12.8
End0.0
Second
3690
#44
11.20.0
11.211.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.3
End0.0
red by 2.5
2225
#51
8.70.9
9.68.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.9
End0.0
Third
4665
#53
10.00.0
10.010.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop10.4
End0.0
red by 2.6
4607
#48
7.40.9
8.37.4
Auto0.4
Teleop7.0
End0.0