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Red170
313063.2
282686.6
249116.2
Blue64
562616.7
309023.9
247222.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17437010015020025030035017064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.60.2
84.184.3
Auto16.3
Teleop70.3
End0.0
red by 62.7
3090
#12
23.90.1
22.923.0
Auto1.5
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Second
63.20.2
60.760.9
Auto0.9
Teleop62.3
End0.0
red by 40.9
2472
#14
22.40.1
21.521.6
Auto0.8
Teleop21.5
End0.0
Third
2491
#40
16.20.2
13.713.9
Auto0.2
Teleop16.0
End0.0
blue by 0.5
5626
#18
16.70.1
15.715.8
Auto0.5
Teleop16.2
End0.0