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Red91
305529.8
223926.7
329318.9
Blue108
562616.7
309023.9
247222.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75550204010012014091108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3055
#16
29.80.3
29.629.8
Auto0.4
Teleop29.5
End0.0
red by 5.9
3090
#12
23.91.0
23.023.9
Auto1.5
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Second
2239
#10
26.70.3
26.426.7
Auto1.2
Teleop25.6
End0.0
red by 4.3
2472
#14
22.40.8
21.622.4
Auto0.8
Teleop21.5
End0.0
Third
3293
#22
18.90.3
18.618.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.1
End0.0
red by 2.2
5626
#18
16.71.0
15.816.7
Auto0.5
Teleop16.2
End0.0