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Red194
250248.8
52572.6
318414.0
Blue119
453620.1
205247.5
419824.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13778050100150200250300194119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#1
72.61.0
71.672.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop72.6
End0.0
red by 25.2
47.50.5
47.047.5
Auto0.5
Teleop47.0
End0.0
Second
48.81.0
47.848.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop49.1
End0.0
red by 24.6
4198
#16
24.20.6
23.624.2
Auto0.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0
Third
3184
#60
14.01.0
13.014.0
Auto0.1
Teleop13.9
End0.0
blue by 6.1
4536
#32
20.10.6
19.520.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.3
End0.0